saconchat
तुम्ही short term साठी घेनार की long term साठी. Long term जानार असताल तर mid august पर्यंत वाट पाहा बहुतेक अजुन ३०-४० रु. ने तो खाली येईल, कदाचीत अगदी ९०० ला मिळेल. aug end पर्यंत मार्केट्चे खरे bottom कळेल असे analyst म्हनत आहेत.
20 day EMA खालच्या दिशेने छेदत आहे. MACD पण खालची दिशा दाखवत आहे. ( २० दिवस या साठी घेतले की जुन मधे जे घडले ते natural न्हवते म्हनुन current data ला विचारात घेत आहे.) अजुन थोडी कळ काढाल तर थोडा फायदा होईल. किंवा मग आता ३० टक्के अजुन बॉटम ला गेल्यावर ३० टक्के असेही घेता येतील.
short term जानार असाल तर ४-५ दिवसात तो १५-२० रु ची Recovary करेल असे वाटते कारण reliance वर लोक लगेच उड्या मारतात. शुक्रवारी तो २५ ने खाली आला, तेवढी जरी recovery झाली तर फायदाच होईल. पण short term घेनार असाल तर खुप volume घ्या व लगेच विका सुध्दा कारण july-aug ची कमाल बाजारात दिसत आहे. market थोडे खालीच असते ह्या काळात.
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Kedar good analysis. मी Reliance घेनार होतो १०१० च्या वर गेल्यावर.. short term sathi. पन तो तेथे पोहोचलाच नाही...
BTW माझे annual report चे interpretation नेहेमी चूकते. Can you suggest some good study material to understand/ interprete annual report correctly?
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Saconchat,
You can try any book on Financial Management.
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Palas
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| | Monday, July 31, 2006 - 6:23 am: | 
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Hi Kedar,
I really appriciate your articles. I learnt so many new things from them and already started using this info. I have a query though. A new IPO of GMR infrastructure is being released. The face value is Rs 10. The information is given at:
http://www.sharekhan.com/Common/ipo_new.aspx
I am little confused with the table there. I guess the share price are in the range of Rs 210 to 250. Now my question is how to read & understand the table ?
Thanks a lot again.
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Palas,
Lets understand how it works.
IPOs can be fix bid or bidding. Fix means the market value will be fixed by the company and only that value will be avilable for purchasing the share. Eg. Rs 50 per share and minimum 1 lot of 25 share.
Here you have know what will the value for first listing (Rs 50).
The second method is bidding. here a band will be available for bidding the share price. In current IPO it is Rs 210 to 250.
GMR Price range 210 - 250. This range means there will be 2 bids for this IPO at Rs 210 and 250. Depending on the subscription the value will change and you will come to know the value when your shares got alloted in your Demat account. before that you will not have any idea what the price will be. But it may be between 210 and 250.
The higer bidder will get the shares.
Now there are ways to pay the total amount of Rs 210 or Rs 250.
In old days ( now too) they use to break this amount of rs 250 in several installments. ( it works the same way how you get your TV on installment). The down payment is traated as application money and the rest money is treated as allotment ( installment).
In current example.
The lot of the share is say 25 ( 2 lots means 50 shares).
On application (down payment) they are taking Rs 125 per share. ( 25 X 125 = 3125)
Now if you want to bid for Rs 210 then diff. will be 210-125 = 85. You have to pay 85 X 25 = Rs 2125 as you final installment ( allotment money) your total will be 2125 + 3125 = 5250.
And in case of Rs 250 you have pay ( 250-125) =125 X 25 = 3125. again (3125+3125= 6250).
This perticuler company is taking only 2 installments. Others can go for 3 or more too.
You can apply the above math to all rest no. of shares.
Usually you should bid only on the HIGH price ie 250, so that your chances of getting this share will be high.
hope this helps. Let me know if you need any info.
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Palas,
Are you from Nanded? Me too. Kuthe rahatos/(rahat hotas).
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Palas
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| | Monday, July 31, 2006 - 5:58 pm: |
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are yaar! what a surprise....mi CIDCO la rahato ajunahi (my parents are still there). I am moving to Hyd as a Scientist at Center for Cellular and Molecular Biology soon... tu kuthe raahat aahes...nanded chya BBvar kadhi bhet jhali nahi...mi aajkaal tikade bhatakalo nahi
thanks for great explanation. mi tula parat vicharil kahi samajala nahi tar...tula kaay vatat aahe GMR infrastructure ghyave ka 1-1.5 yrs sathi?
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Cellular and Molecular Biology
बापरे. भयानक काहीतरी दिसतय. ~D
मी शिकागोत राहातो. माझे आई वडील नांदेडलाच असतात. कैलासनगर ला माझे घर आहे.
GMR is average, but not too bad. Don't expect it will give 15+ % returns on listing.( Last year many comanies gave 20% + returns on very first day). Good for long term.
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Palas
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| | Tuesday, August 01, 2006 - 1:36 am: |
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thanks again..I will write you mail and then we can talk about our personal things !!!
happy that someone from my town is leading "investments' here.
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Satishm27
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| | Tuesday, August 01, 2006 - 6:00 am: |
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KJ,
Is Fed meeting on 08/08/06.
Again Rate Hike(?).
Indian Govt Unable to control Fiscal Deficit in Q1.
Crude is still above $70.
Middle-East situation is not resolving.
UNSEC warn IRAN about there Nuclear Program & asked to stop Nuclear enrichment Program before 31st Aug.
Here Some Analyst are saying market break previous low(8900) in Aug-Sept.
I am not much bullish For SHORT TERM at least.
What You Say???
http://www.financialexpress.com/fe_full_story.php?content_id=135842
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Yes, they are meeting next week. But many of the members in this meeting are split on the issue of interest rate hike. Some want to hike some dont.
RBI is considering another hike to REPO rates by 25 bps. This will have effet on market.
For last one and half month we have seen double bottom at 10000 levels, but it again went up. Traded sideways. I would say it might touch for the third time in coming month or so.
For coming 1-2 months I would say it will trade sideways. Depending on Half yearly results it might go north.
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Satishm27
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| | Thursday, August 03, 2006 - 6:20 am: |
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Thanks, Kedar,
Just Great Opinion As always.
Discussion with you is always informative n Confidence boosting one.
A Today market cross 3200 on NIFTY (11000 on Sensex) last two times at this level market took U turn.
Let see what happen this time?????
I plan sell some of my holding ( blue chip also) n buy when market correct(-10%) as i expect market go down atleast 10% from here............
There is no clear Pic Globally.
In India it is not bad.
Q1Results also good one, Mansoon also..........
What you say??????????
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धन्यवाद सतिश,
असलेल्या blue chip नफ्यात असतील तर थोडी profit booking करुन घ्या पण सर्वच विकु नका. कारण मार्केट ला predict करणे अवघड असते, मी गेस करतो पण तसे होईल याची खात्री नसते. Oct 1st week ला ६ मन्थली रिस्ल्ट्स येतील तेव्हा blue chips आणखी वर जातील.
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Abedekar
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| | Wednesday, August 16, 2006 - 6:56 pm: |
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several days of slow and steady growth in the indian stock markets. thopefully today's US market rally will spur the emerging markets on some more 
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मी २४ जुल्य च्या पोस्ट मधे सन्गित्ल्य नुसर रेलिअन्cए १०१० रोस्स केल्यवर थांबलाच नाही आज ११११ च्या वर अहे १०% इन्cरेअसे, १०-१५ दिवसात
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Saconchat
तुम्ही तेव्हा घेतला होता का reliance ?.
मार्केट ११७९४. By Diwali it might go 12500 crossing the earlier High
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Saconchat
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| | Monday, September 04, 2006 - 7:38 am: |
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केदार, मी घेतला आणि लगेच विकला देखिल 
१७ Aug ला maruti ने buy signal दिला होता (८१८) आज ८९० आहे.
केदार तुम्ही short period prefer करता की long ?
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दोन्ही. it dependes on situation. अगदी माझ्या आवडीचे शेअर पण मी कधी कधी कमी कालावधी साठी घेउन विकतो.
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Mahaguru
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| | Wednesday, September 13, 2006 - 2:10 pm: |
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केदार छान माहिती देतो आहेस.
एखादा विश्लेषणात्मक लेख लिही की आपल्या दिवाली अंकाकरीता !
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Satishm27
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| | Thursday, September 14, 2006 - 11:01 am: |
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हो केदार विशेष लेख तु टाक की........
today market again touched 12000 again.......
Kedar your OPINION really worth!!!!!!
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